35 research outputs found
The Emergence of El-Ni\~{n}o as an Autonomous Component in the Climate Network
We construct and analyze a climate network which represents the
interdependent structure of the climate in different geographical zones and
find that the network responds in a unique way to El-Ni\~{n}o events. Analyzing
the dynamics of the climate network shows that when El-Ni\~{n}o events begin,
the El-Ni\~{n}o basin partially loses its influence on its surroundings. After
typically three months, this influence is restored while the basin loses almost
all dependence on its surroundings and becomes \textit{autonomous}. The
formation of an autonomous basin is the missing link to understand the
seemingly contradicting phenomena of the afore--noticed weakening of the
interdependencies in the climate network during El-Ni\~{n}o and the known
impact of the anomalies inside the El-Ni\~{n}o basin on the global climate
system.Comment: 5 pages,10 figure
The backbone of the climate network
We propose a method to reconstruct and analyze a complex network from data
generated by a spatio-temporal dynamical system, relying on the nonlinear
mutual information of time series analysis and betweenness centrality of
complex network theory. We show, that this approach reveals a rich internal
structure in complex climate networks constructed from reanalysis and model
surface air temperature data. Our novel method uncovers peculiar wave-like
structures of high energy flow, that we relate to global surface ocean
currents. This points to a major role of the oceanic surface circulation in
coupling and stabilizing the global temperature field in the long term mean
(140 years for the model run and 60 years for reanalysis data). We find that
these results cannot be obtained using classical linear methods of multivariate
data analysis, and have ensured their robustness by intensive significance
testing.Comment: 6 pages, 5 figure
Node-weighted measures for complex networks with spatially embedded, sampled, or differently sized nodes
When network and graph theory are used in the study of complex systems, a
typically finite set of nodes of the network under consideration is frequently
either explicitly or implicitly considered representative of a much larger
finite or infinite region or set of objects of interest. The selection
procedure, e.g., formation of a subset or some kind of discretization or
aggregation, typically results in individual nodes of the studied network
representing quite differently sized parts of the domain of interest. This
heterogeneity may induce substantial bias and artifacts in derived network
statistics. To avoid this bias, we propose an axiomatic scheme based on the
idea of node splitting invariance to derive consistently weighted variants of
various commonly used statistical network measures. The practical relevance and
applicability of our approach is demonstrated for a number of example networks
from different fields of research, and is shown to be of fundamental importance
in particular in the study of spatially embedded functional networks derived
from time series as studied in, e.g., neuroscience and climatology.Comment: 21 pages, 13 figure
Challenges in Complex Systems Science
FuturICT foundations are social science, complex systems science, and ICT.
The main concerns and challenges in the science of complex systems in the
context of FuturICT are laid out in this paper with special emphasis on the
Complex Systems route to Social Sciences. This include complex systems having:
many heterogeneous interacting parts; multiple scales; complicated transition
laws; unexpected or unpredicted emergence; sensitive dependence on initial
conditions; path-dependent dynamics; networked hierarchical connectivities;
interaction of autonomous agents; self-organisation; non-equilibrium dynamics;
combinatorial explosion; adaptivity to changing environments; co-evolving
subsystems; ill-defined boundaries; and multilevel dynamics. In this context,
science is seen as the process of abstracting the dynamics of systems from
data. This presents many challenges including: data gathering by large-scale
experiment, participatory sensing and social computation, managing huge
distributed dynamic and heterogeneous databases; moving from data to dynamical
models, going beyond correlations to cause-effect relationships, understanding
the relationship between simple and comprehensive models with appropriate
choices of variables, ensemble modeling and data assimilation, modeling systems
of systems of systems with many levels between micro and macro; and formulating
new approaches to prediction, forecasting, and risk, especially in systems that
can reflect on and change their behaviour in response to predictions, and
systems whose apparently predictable behaviour is disrupted by apparently
unpredictable rare or extreme events. These challenges are part of the FuturICT
agenda
Investigating the topology of interacting networks - Theory and application to coupled climate subnetworks
Network theory provides various tools for investigating the structural or
functional topology of many complex systems found in nature, technology and
society. Nevertheless, it has recently been realised that a considerable number
of systems of interest should be treated, more appropriately, as interacting
networks or networks of networks. Here we introduce a novel graph-theoretical
framework for studying the interaction structure between subnetworks embedded
within a complex network of networks. This framework allows us to quantify the
structural role of single vertices or whole subnetworks with respect to the
interaction of a pair of subnetworks on local, mesoscopic and global
topological scales.
Climate networks have recently been shown to be a powerful tool for the
analysis of climatological data. Applying the general framework for studying
interacting networks, we introduce coupled climate subnetworks to represent and
investigate the topology of statistical relationships between the fields of
distinct climatological variables. Using coupled climate subnetworks to
investigate the terrestrial atmosphere's three-dimensional geopotential height
field uncovers known as well as interesting novel features of the atmosphere's
vertical stratification and general circulation. Specifically, the new measure
"cross-betweenness" identifies regions which are particularly important for
mediating vertical wind field interactions. The promising results obtained by
following the coupled climate subnetwork approach present a first step towards
an improved understanding of the Earth system and its complex interacting
components from a network perspective
Climate Dynamics: A Network-Based Approach for the Analysis of Global Precipitation
Precipitation is one of the most important meteorological variables for defining the climate dynamics, but the spatial patterns of precipitation have not been fully investigated yet. The complex network theory, which provides a robust tool to investigate the statistical interdependence of many interacting elements, is used here to analyze the spatial dynamics of annual precipitation over seventy years (1941-2010). The precipitation network is built associating a node to a geographical region, which has a temporal distribution of precipitation, and identifying possible links among nodes through the correlation function. The precipitation network reveals significant spatial variability with barely connected regions, as Eastern China and Japan, and highly connected regions, such as the African Sahel, Eastern Australia and, to a lesser extent, Northern Europe. Sahel and Eastern Australia are remarkably dry regions, where low amounts of rainfall are uniformly distributed on continental scales and small-scale extreme events are rare. As a consequence, the precipitation gradient is low, making these regions well connected on a large spatial scale. On the contrary, the Asiatic South-East is often reached by extreme events such as monsoons, tropical cyclones and heat waves, which can all contribute to reduce the correlation to the short-range scale only. Some patterns emerging between mid-latitude and tropical regions suggest a possible impact of the propagation of planetary waves on precipitation at a global scale. Other links can be qualitatively associated to the atmospheric and oceanic circulation. To analyze the sensitivity of the network to the physical closeness of the nodes, short-term connections are broken. The African Sahel, Eastern Australia and Northern Europe regions again appear as the supernodes of the network, confirming furthermore their long-range connection structure. Almost all North-American and Asian nodes vanish, revealing that extreme events can enhance high precipitation gradients, leading to a systematic absence of long-range patterns
Complex networks for climate model evaluation with application to statistical versus dynamical modeling of South American climate
Acknowledgments: This paper was developed within the scope of the IRTG 1740/TRP 2011/50151-0, funded by the DFG/FAPESP. Furthermore, this work has been financially supported by the Leibniz Society (project ECONS), and the Stordalen Foundation (JFD). For certain calculations, the software packages pyunicorn (Donges et al. 2013a) and igraph (Csa´rdi and Nepusz 2006) were used. The authors would like to thank Manoel F. Cardoso, Niklas Boers, and the reviewers for helpful comments on the manuscript. Open Access: This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits any use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and the source are credited.Peer reviewedPostprin
Pattern of climate network blinking links follows El Niño events
Using measurements of atmospheric temperatures, we create a weighted network in different regions on the globe. The weight of each link is composed of two numbers —the correlations strength between the two places and the time delay between them. A characterization of the different typical links that exist is presented. A surprising outcome of the analysis is a new dynamical quantity of link blinking that seems to be sensitive especially to El Niño even in geographical regimes outside the Pacific Ocean
Climate network structure evolves with North Atlantic Oscillation phases
We construct a network from climate records of temperature and geopotential-height in two pressure levels at different geographical sites in the North Atlantic. A link between two sites represents the cross-correlations between the records of each site. We find that within the different phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) the correlation values of the links in the climate network are significantly different. By setting an optimized threshold on the correlation values, we find that the number of strong links in the network increases during times of positive NAO indices, and decreases during times of negative NAO indices. We find a pronounced sensitivity of the network structure to the NAO oscillations which is significantly higher compared to the observed response of spatial average of the climate records. Our results suggest a new measure that tracks the NAO pattern